Publications

publication

AVOID 1: Future climate extremes under an aggressive mitigation scenario

February 5, 2010
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This report provides further information on the outcomes of pathways that could act to avoid dangerous climate change. We present an assessment of changes in temperature and precipitation based climate extremes using the HadGEM2 coupled ocean-atmosphere global climate model. We assess changing extremes at the end of […]

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publication

AVOID 1: The effects of climate mitigation on the exposure of worlds large port cities to extreme coastal water levels

January 28, 2010
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This report investigates the population and asset exposure for 136 of the world’s large port cities to current and future extreme coastal water levels. Global data has been used to estimate current population by elevation for each city and storm surge levels from which exposure to a […]

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publication

AVOID 1: The implications of climate policy for avoided impacts on water and food security

January 28, 2010
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This project has assessed the impacts of climate change avoided by a set of climate policies, focusing on water resources stress, crop production and undernourishment.

Climate change has the potential to increase water resources stresses for many millions of people. The climate policies evaluated here reduce the effects […]

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AVOID 1: The economics and climate change impacts of various greenhouse gas emission pathways and a comparison between base line and policy emissions scenarios

January 22, 2010
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Deliverable 1 of AVOID-WS1 produced emission scenarios that represented possible future global emission pathways for greenhouse gases during the 21st century. This was detailed in a simple fashion by varying three parameters: the year in which emissions peak globally, the rate of emission reduction (R), and the […]

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AVOID 1: Impacts across the global scale

A presentation given by Nigel Arnell on 20 January 2010, covering:

Methodologies: estimating impacts across the global scale
The relationship between climate forcing and impact
Trajectories of impact through the 21st century
Effect of future socio-economic conditions on future impacts […]

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