Publications -

AVOID 1: Providing key advice to UK Government on avoiding dangerous climate change – Pre-CoP update 2012

A presentation on findings from the AVOID 1 programme with relevance for the CoP 18 conference, including:

An update on historical emissions
Relating emissions to temperature targets
Feasibility of emissions reductions
Impacts of climate change at 2°C and above
Coming soon from AVOID […]

publication

AVOID 1: Scoping study: modelling the interaction between mitigation and adaptation for decision making

August 16, 2012
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Key outcomes

• Adaptation and mitigation are complementary measures.

• Globally, one cannot trade the concept of ‘1 degree of mitigation’ with that of ‘1 degree of adaptation’, owing to the very different potential for adaptation in different sectors and regions, the issue of scale, the dynamics of […]

publication

AVOID 1: Development of emissions pathways meeting a range of long term temperature targets

August 8, 2012
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There is a wide range of future greenhouse-gas emissions pathways that meet any given climate target. Whilst the AVOID programme has produced a large number of emissions scenarios and pathways to date, AVOID has not produced a systematic assessment of the different mitigated emissions pathways that are […]

publication

AVOID 1: Comparison of AVOID work with overseas analyses

August 8, 2012
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AVOID has developed a large number of emissions scenarios and made projections of future climate changes associate with each. To date no direct quantitative comparison with other modelling frameworks has been performed. This study compares AVOID climate projections with those from a number of different models, from Integrated […]

publication

AVOID 1: Implications of technological development and regional climate damage costs for international climate policy

May 23, 2012
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We attempt a first analysis of the dynamics of the current international climate negotiations in terms of a novel stylised model of economic growth that balances short‐term economic wellbeing against the disutility of climate change in the longer‐term.  As a first approximation, we see that countries […]

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