Publications -

publication

AVOID 1: Health Impacts of Catastrophic Climate Change: Expert Workshop

August 2, 2011
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This report describes the results from the AVOID workshop on the impacts of catastrophic climate change on human health. Current methods of estimating future health impacts do not address the impacts of extreme events or weather disasters. Thus, for this workshop, narratives of low probability high impact extreme […]

publication

AVOID 1: Avoided climate change in an Earth system ensemble

July 5, 2011
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An Earth system model, HadCM3C, is used to explore the consequences of the mitigation of greenhouse gas emissions compared to a ‘business as usual’ scenario.

The model is significantly more advanced than models typically used for providing mitigation advice. We use a collection of model runs, known as […]

publication

AVOID 1: China’s energy technology options to 2050

July 5, 2011
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This study assesses the potential for China to significantly reduce its carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions to 2050, with a focus on CO2 from energy and industrial emissions. The study uses modelling by the International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (IIASA) and Imperial College London, to undertake a detailed […]

publication

AVOID 1: Achieving global temperature targets with different combinations of greenhouse gases

May 17, 2011
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In principle, it is possible to achieve a given global temperature target with different combinations of greenhouse gas concentrations in the atmosphere. However, atmospheric CO2 also has a direct effect on some impact sectors, such as ecosystem and crop productivity. Plant growth, and hence productivity, is influenced by […]

publication

AVOID 1: Dangerous Climate Change Assessment Project Final Report

March 31, 2011
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The 1992 UN Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC) commits signatories to achieving a “stabilisation of greenhouse gas concentrations in the atmosphere at a level that would prevent dangerous anthropogenic interference with the climate system”, leaving unspecified the level of global warming that is “dangerous” (Oppenheimer and Petsonk […]

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