Reducing global greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions in order to avoid dangerous levels of climate change will require the deployment of low-carbon technologies and measures across all world regions, and across all economic sectors within these regions. This area of the AVOID 2 research programme will use a range of models representing the supply and use of energy throughout the economy, as well as industrial and agricultural processes which emit GHGs, to understand which combinations of low-carbon technologies are most cost-effective in meeting current and future economic demand whilst keeping within specified GHG limits. The model outputs will be stress-tested in order to determine the real-world feasibility of achieving rapid GHG emissions reduction rates throughout the 21st century, by considering historical energy technology transformations, infrastructure requirements and behavioural barriers to the adoption of new technologies. The results of this research area will provide new insights into the overall achievability of different emissions reduction targets.
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Infographic: What will it take to achieve 2°C?
Policy card C2a: What is the scale and challenge of the energy system transition required to meet long-term climate goals?
Policy card C2b: What contribution can mitigation of non-CO2 greenhouse gases make towards achieving long-term temperature goals?
Policy card C3: Can we achieve the rates of energy transition required to limit global warming to below 2 degrees?
Policy card C4: How can reducing energy demand help keep global warming below 2 degrees?