This report presents an assessment of global and regional impacts of climate change under six different levels of climate forcing and five plausible socio-economic scenarios which define population exposure to this change. Four of the climate forcings are based on Representative Concentration Pathways (RCPs), and produce median […]
Publications Archives · AVOID 2 climate change research programme
How realistic are low-carbon pathways derived by energy models for BRICS countries? (C5)
AVOID 2 modelling suggests that the lowest-cost pathways for limiting average global warming to below 2°C will involve emerging economies such as Brazil, Russia, India, China and South Africa (BRICS countries) rapidly decreasing their greenhouse gas emissions. To consider whether this is realistic and feasible, the […]
The impact of shale gas on the cost and feasibility of meeting climate targets (C6)
In recent years, there has been considerable global and regional interest in shale gas, which it has been suggested could play a role as a bridging fuel to a low-carbon future, and which has led to a huge increase in indigenous gas production in the US. There […]
Low-carbon transition patterns in the BRICS countries – comparing global energy system models to national analysis (C5)
Brazil, Russia, India, China and South Africa (BRICS) accounted for almost 40% of global energy-related CO2 emissions in 2012. Since 2000, these emissions have increased in all of these five countries. For China and India, the two biggest emitters, energy related CO2 emissions more than tripled and […]