Publications

publication

AVOID 1: Temperature implications from the IPCC 5th assessment Representative Concentration Pathways (RCP)

April 22, 2010
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Temperature projections are made for the IPCC fifth assessment report (AR5) scenarios, referred to as “Representative Concentration Pathways” (RCPs), using the MAGICC simple climate model.

These RCPs have been chosen to span climate outcomes rather than socioeconomic futures, but are found to closely match key mitigated and non […]

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AVOID 1: Amazon Case Study: Development of a new framework for characterising dangerous climate change impacts

April 6, 2010
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This study includes the progress towards development of a framework which begins by defining a ‘dangerous impact’ and produces a range of global climate change and associated emissions. This reverses the order of the more usual technique and avoids the resulting large uncertainty in the impact. The first […]

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AVOID 1: Future climate extremes under an aggressive mitigation scenario

February 5, 2010
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This report provides further information on the outcomes of pathways that could act to avoid dangerous climate change. We present an assessment of changes in temperature and precipitation based climate extremes using the HadGEM2 coupled ocean-atmosphere global climate model. We assess changing extremes at the end of […]

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AVOID 1: The effects of climate mitigation on the exposure of worlds large port cities to extreme coastal water levels

January 28, 2010
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This report investigates the population and asset exposure for 136 of the world’s large port cities to current and future extreme coastal water levels. Global data has been used to estimate current population by elevation for each city and storm surge levels from which exposure to a […]

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