Work package B focuses on the future global and regional impacts of climate change on humans and ecosystems under different levels and rates of climate change; it will also examine the impacts avoided by the emissions pathways produced by AVOID Work Package A. It uses existing impacts models, and will develop indicators of impact with stakeholder communities. In general it will focus on a time period to 2100. Our team includes researchers with expertise on agricultural systems, coastal systems, ecosystems and biodiversity, water resources, human health and economics. We will project impacts upon water availability, coastal flood risk, river flood risk, extreme weather events, crop productivity, crop suitability, ocean acidification, fisheries, heating and cooling demand, biodiversity and economic growth. An important aspect of the work will be to separate impacts due to climate change from impacts resulting from socioeconomic change. Where the information exists, the effects of adaptation on these impacts will be assessed.
Infographic: Mapping the impacts of climate change
Infographic: The INDCs and climate impacts